Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, "Britain divided over Scottish Independence", "Yes voters take lead in new independence poll", "Scottish independence: Depending on the pollster, it looks like a photo finish", "Scottish referendum: Scotland votes 'No' to independence", "Referendum results: Turnout a record high as Scots vote No to independence", "New poll: Scotland would back indy if fresh vote was held now", "What are the latest polls saying about Scottish independence? This website uses cookies to help us give you the best experience when you visit our website. The survey interviewed 1,013 Scottish adults aged 16 or over online between the dates of December 11 and 15. [8] This had fallen somewhat since the SNP were first elected to become the Scottish Government in 2007. One poll of this type has been conducted since the EU membership referendum. Research by Survation suggests 52% of Scots back the country leaving the rest of the UK – … The British Social Attitudes Survey has asked voters in England how Scotland should be governed, since the 1997 British Election Study. This is slightly down from the six-point lead (53% to 47%) we saw in August, which was the biggest Yes lead of any YouGov poll. [See also: Why civil war is breaking out in the SNP]. Posted on January 18, 2021 Comments Off on Nicola Sturgeon boosted by Scottish independence poll as SNP ramps up drive to leave UK. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming independent’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". Recent polls give the SNP leads in both the constituency and list sections, and the New Statesman's forecast model suggests the party is on course to win a comfortable overall majority (65 seats or more) having fallen two seats short in 2016. During this period, devolution was the preferred option in each opinion poll, although support for independence increased. These polls have been carried out since six weeks after the referendum. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Our tracker on Scottish public opinion shows that since the middle of 2020, a consistent majority of Scots with an opinion have backed independence. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. [15], "No" continued to show a lead in opinion polls until July 2019, when one poll by Lord Ashcroft showed a narrow majority for "Yes". This page was last edited on 20 January 2021, at 23:27. Scottish nationalists are on course to win a record majority in elections for Scotland's devolved parliament that would start a new push for independence, an opinion poll published on Thursday showed. A new poll has shown a slight dip in support for both Scottish independence and the SNP. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming independent’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". The party could win every constituency seat apart from one, the figures reveal. Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon’s party is divided over how to take Scotland out of the union. New Scottish independence poll finds more than half of Scots support separation from UK The Survation poll also found that more women would vote yes compared to men. This article is more than 5 months old . Our election model is updated as soon as new data becomes available. Scottish independence: Support at 51 per cent in new poll By Caitlin Hutchison CaitlinHutchie Support for independence at 51 per cent in new poll with 'improved perception of … The poll by SavantaComRes for the unionist leaning Scotsman newspaper is also the 18 th poll in a row to show majority backing for independence. Will Scotland vote for independence? (asked after the EU referendum)", "Nicola Sturgeon points to 'growing urgency' for Scottish independence", "Scottish independence surveys 'show Brexit has put union at risk, "Why are more Scots supporting independence? A FIFTEENTH consecutive poll has found majority support for Scottish independence. The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". Scottish independence Among those who would be likely to vote in an independence referendum, 58% say they would vote Yes while 42% would vote No. [16] Professor John Curtice said after this poll was released that there had recently been a swing towards "Yes", and that this was concentrated among people who had voted to "Remain" in the 2016 Brexit referendum. With the SNP spring conference taking place this weekend party members will no doubt be pleased to hear that a new YouGov/Times poll finds support for Scottish independence at its highest point since February 2015, with the two sides virtually neck and neck on 49% for Yes and 51% for No. Each elector may cast two votes: one for their constituency, a second for their region. The research by Survation shows a … Support for Scottish independence from the UK has reached a record high, a new poll shows. A survey carried out by YouGov last week asked more than 1,009 voters north of … The survey by the Scotland in Union organisation found 59% would vote to remain, while 41% would back independence. Overall, polls showed that support for a "No" vote was dominant until the end of August 2014, when support for a "Yes" vote gained momentum and the gap closed significantly, with at least one poll placing the "Yes" vote ahead. It also revealed about 25% of people are … [12] Twenty-five opinion polls were conducted in the year after the referendum, with seventeen of them having "No" as the predominant answer, seven having "Yes", and one having an equal proportion of respondents for each opinion. Ballantyne, who was unveiled as the leader of Nigel Farage's Reform Party in Scotland earlier this week, said a recent example of the Union … Keep an eye out for further additions to our Scottish independence poll tracker. Ipsos Mori found that a huge 58% of Scots would vote Yes at a future referendum. [14] From 18 September 2016 to 18 September 2017 twenty-six polls were conducted with twenty-five returning "No" as the most popular answer and only one returning "Yes" as the most popular answer. Nicola Sturgeon handed devastating blow over 2021 Scottish independence vote in new poll TWO-THIRDS of Scots do not want a second Scottish independence referendum next … ", with the options "I agree that Scotland should become an independent country" and "I do not agree that Scotland should become an independent country". Support for Scottish independence and the SNP appears to have dipped with a new poll showing 52 per cent of adults are in favour of breaking up the UK. . Each elector may cast two votes: one for their constituency, a second for their region. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. A referendum on the subject was held on 18 September 2014. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. 18th poll in a row shows majority for Scottish Independence  The first poll on Scottish independence in 2021 has found 57% support for independence from Scottish voters. THE latest poll on Scottish independence support has found the percentage of people who want to leave the Union at a record high for a second time. Latest Scottish independence poll shows most Scots back breakaway from UK – but a quarter still remain undecided Chris Musson , Scottish Political Editor 2 Dec 2020, 20:37